China 3G Market Overview

《China 3G Market Overview》简介：

　　This report analyses the development of China's 3G telecom market, and provides a market update and forecast as of the beginning of 2008.

　　We will provide overviews and business development model analyses of the current status of three major 3G technologies – TD-SCDMA, WCDMA and CDMA2000. We will pay particular attention to the domestically developed TD-SCDMA standard, as this is expected to be the major area of 3G development in China for the next few years. China Mobile conducted large-scale TD-SCDMA equipment bidding and network construction in 2007, and we will present an updated TD-SCDMA value chain analysis based on this network construction as well as recent developments.

　　In addition to being a major 3G standard in its own right, TD-SCDMA will also determine the timing of 3G license issuance for all other standards. We believe that it will take most of 2008 for China Mobile to optimize its current TD-SCDMA

　　networks and to further test network features and terminal functionality. China's long-awaited 3G licenses will only be released once TD-SCDMA network stability is judged to be satisfactory, with licenses being released either together or one by one with small time intervals.

　　We will also pay very close attention to telecom industry restructuring, another important factor influencing China’s 3G market landscape and licenses release schedule. We believe that reorganization is very likely to take place in 2008, in order to improve competition in the industry and create multi-service telecom operators.

　　Based on our analysis of the most likely telecom operator restructuring and 3G licenses distribution scenarios, we will make quantitative forecasts of the prospects for China’s 3G market. Ultimately, we believe that TD-SCDMA will eventually be able to make a successful commercial debut but that there will also be space for other standards to develop in China. China's healthy macroeconomic environment will mean that the country will enjoy a strong 3G ecosystem.

《China 3G Market Overview》目录：

1 Executive Summary	1

2 TD-SCDMA	2
2.1 Market Overview	2
2.2 TD-SCDMA Network Trials Development	3
2.3 Value Chain Analysis	4
2.3.1 TD-SCDMA Core Network Vendors	5
2.3.2 TD-SCDMA Radio Access Network Vendors	6
2.3.3 TD-SCDMA Chipset Vendors	8
2.3.4 TD-SCDMA Terminal Vendors	9
2.4 Business Development Model	10

3 WCDMA	13
3.1 Market Overview	13
3.2 Business Development Model	13

4 CDMA2000 1X	16
4.1 Market Overview	16
4.2 Business Development Model	17

5 Telecom Operator Restructuring and Forecast	19
5.1 Industry Restructuring Models and Likely Progress in 2008	19
5.2 3G Market Forecast	22

List of Figures
Figure 2-1: The TD-SCDMA Industry Chain	4
Figure 2-2: Core Network Market Share in 10-City TD-SCDMA Trial Public Bidding	6
Figure 2-3: Four partnerships of TD-SCDMA equipment vendors	6
Figure 2-4: Radio Access Network Market Share in 10-City TD-SCDMA Trial Public Bidding	7
Figure 2-5: Cooperation in TD-SCDMA Chipset Value Chain	8
Figure 2-6: TD-SCDMA Services Type Developing Analysis	11
Figure 2-7: TD-SCDMA Service Models Developing Analysis	11
Figure 3-1: WCDMA Services Type Developing Analysis	14
Figure 3-2: WCDMA Service Models Developing Analysis	15
Figure 4-1: China Unicom CDMA Network CAPEX and Growth (2003-2007)	16
Figure 4-2: CDMA2000 Services Type Developing Analysis	17
Figure 4-3: CDMA2000 Service Models Developing Analysis	17
Figure 5-1: Telecom Operator Restructuring Scenarios	19
Figure 5-2: Chinese 3G Subscriber Number Developing Forecast (2008-2012)	22
Figure 5-3: Chinese 3G Network Investment Forecast (2007-2012)	23
Figure 5-4: Chinese 3G Terminal Demand Forecast (2007-2012)	23
Figure 5-5: Chinese 3G Terminal Market Forecast (2007-2012)	24

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